The Good Judgment Project

An invitation to participate in a study of individual and group forecasting ability. We want to understand how personal and collective forecasting strengths differ, how to improve personal forecasting intelligence, and how we can design systems that make groups smarter.

Pages

  • Home
  • Project Status Updates

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

The Good Judgment Project Blog has moved

Visit us here:

www.goodjudgmentproject.com/blog
Posted by The Good Judgment Project at 5:27 PM
Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest
Home
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)

To participate in the Good Judgment Project:

Click here (www.goodjudgment.info)

As of August 22, 2011, we are recruiting "reservists" only. Those who pre-register now will be placed on a waiting list. When additional forecasters are needed, we will contact waiting-list pre-registrants in the order of sign up to fill the ranks of our forecasters.

Subscribe To The Good Judgment Project

Posts
Atom
Posts
All Comments
Atom
All Comments

About the Good Judgment Project

Prediction markets can harness the "wisdom of crowds" to solve problems, develop products, and make forecasts. These systems typically treat collective intelligence as a commodity to be mined, not a resource that can be grown and improved. That’s about to change.
 Starting in September 2011, five teams began participating in a U.S.-government-sponsored forecasting tournament. Each team is developing its own tools for harnessing and improving collective intelligence and will be judged on how well its forecasters predict major trends and events around the world over the next four years.
The Good Judgment Team, based in the University of Pennsylvania and the University of California Berkeley, is one of the five teams participating – and we’d like you to consider joining our team as a forecaster. If you're willing to experiment with ways to improve your forecasting ability and if being part of cutting-edge scientific research appeals to you, then we want your help. To join us, click here.

GOOD JUDGMENT TEAM MEMBERS

Researchers
Philip Tetlock
, U. of Pennsylvania
Barbara Mellers
, U. of Pennsylvania
Don Moore
, UC Berkeley
Jon Baron
, U. of Pennsylvania
Bo Cowgill
, UC Berkeley
Leslie Fine, Crowdcast
Richard Herrmann
, Ohio State University
Terry Murray, UC Berkeley
Ilana Ritov
, Hebrew University
Ya'acov Ritov
, Hebrew University
Paul Schoemaker
, U. of Pennsylvania
David Scott
, Rice University
Lyle Ungar
, U. of Pennsylvania

Hadley Wickham, Rice University


Advisors
Scott Armstrong
, U. of Pennsylvania
Robert Jervis
, Columbia University
Danny Kahneman
, Princeton University

Howard Kunreuther, U. of Pennsylvania
Michael Mauboussin
, Legg Mason Capital Management
Carl Spetzler
, Strategic Decisions Group
Justin Wolfers
, U. of Pennsylvania


Blog Archive

  • ▼  2012 (1)
    • ▼  April (1)
      • The Good Judgment Project Blog has moved

On the Road

The Good Judgment Project blog is optimized for mobile browsing with iPhone, Android and Blackberry.


Disclaimer

All opinions expressed here are those of their authors and not necessarily those of IARPA, University of California, or the University of Pennsylvania. The project is not responsible for the content of sites linked to or otherwise mentioned in this blog.

Simple theme. Powered by Blogger.